Premium player-level model lift compares each player’s raw baseline hit rate against the hit rate from model-qualified picks across all shot thresholds.
How to read model lift
Each point represents one player and shot threshold combination. Bubble size reflects the number of qualified model picks included in the calculation.
Baseline Hit Rate measures how often the player reached the selected shot threshold across all completed opportunities.
Model Hit Rate measures how often the player reached the selected shot threshold only when they passed the model-quality threshold used in the publish pipeline.
Lift is the difference between model hit rate and baseline hit rate.
For example, +8.0 percentage points means the model-qualified picks hit 8 points better than the player’s raw baseline.
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Avg Lift
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Average model lift in percentage points.
Players
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Players matching the current filters.
Model Lift Scatter Plot
X-axis shows each player’s raw baseline hit rate. Y-axis shows model lift versus baseline.
Points above zero represent positive model lift, while larger bubbles indicate a greater number of qualified model picks.