NHL player shot prediction picks based on Top Shelf Analytics’ predicted shots model. This public preview focuses on historical and upcoming shot predictions for the 2+ threshold, model performance metrics, shot distribution indicators, and final hit/miss results.
Table Notes

Each row represents one player prediction for 2+ shots on a given prediction date.

Prediction probability and model performance metrics come from machine learning model results. Actual results are updated using the shots column from Skater Summary.

Distribution metrics include mean, median, mode, skew, and concentration. Concentration measures the share of prior games where a player’s shot total finished within ±1 of their median shot total as of the model cutoff date.

Pending rows indicate games where the prediction exists, but final shot results have not yet been joined.

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Correct Picks
Based on completed picks matching the current filters.
Player Pool
Total picks matching the current filters.